By what year could China triple its nuclear arsenal?

By what year could China triple its nuclear arsenal?

• A. 2028
• B. 2030
• C. 2035
• D. 2040

Answer: (C)

Forecasting how large an arsenal could become relies on following a stated growth path. In this case, the scenario describes a threefold increase that is achieved by a specific year, so the year that best fits that growth pace is 2035. Why that year makes sense: tripling the current size requires a steady expansion over a defined period, and 2035 sits right at the point where the described growth would complete. Choosing an earlier year would demand a faster-than-stated production or stockpile buildup, while a later year would delay the increase beyond the forecast window. So, 2035 matches the given growth trajectory and timeline.

Forecasting how large an arsenal could become relies on following a stated growth path. In this case, the scenario describes a threefold increase that is achieved by a specific year, so the year that best fits that growth pace is 2035.

Why that year makes sense: tripling the current size requires a steady expansion over a defined period, and 2035 sits right at the point where the described growth would complete. Choosing an earlier year would demand a faster-than-stated production or stockpile buildup, while a later year would delay the increase beyond the forecast window.

So, 2035 matches the given growth trajectory and timeline.